**Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department point to a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow on September 20 under mainly clear skies, following scattered thunderstorms and rain on the 19th that helped suppress temperatures.** Recent monsoon withdrawal from western Rajasthan is reducing cloud cover and moisture across Uttar Pradesh, allowing stronger solar insolation and daytime warming typical of late-September conditions. Model consensus and historical analogs support highs clustering near 33–35°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 33°C (47%) and 34°C (38.5%) amid minor uncertainty from lingering humidity, variable wind patterns, and potential for isolated showers. The market reflects aggregated assessment of these variables rather than a single deterministic outcome, with resolution based on official observatory readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 20 settembre?
33°C 47%
34°C 39%
35°C 9%
32°C 6%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
47%
34°C
39%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 39%
35°C 9%
32°C 6%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
47%
34°C
39%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department point to a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow on September 20 under mainly clear skies, following scattered thunderstorms and rain on the 19th that helped suppress temperatures.** Recent monsoon withdrawal from western Rajasthan is reducing cloud cover and moisture across Uttar Pradesh, allowing stronger solar insolation and daytime warming typical of late-September conditions. Model consensus and historical analogs support highs clustering near 33–35°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 33°C (47%) and 34°C (38.5%) amid minor uncertainty from lingering humidity, variable wind patterns, and potential for isolated showers. The market reflects aggregated assessment of these variables rather than a single deterministic outcome, with resolution based on official observatory readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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