Recent monsoon withdrawal and lingering moisture from a western disturbance and cyclonic circulation over western Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–32 °C for Lucknow’s September 19 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60 % chance of scattered thunderstorms, which limit surface heating and cap daytime peaks near seasonal norms of 32–33 °C. High humidity (70–90 %) and light northerly winds further suppress extreme values, while any earlier clearing could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or subsidence dominates, directly influencing the narrow probability spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 19 settembre?
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
32%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C o superiore
1%
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$41 Vol.
4%
30°C
$699 Vol.
15%
31°C
$138 Vol.
30%
32°C
$281 Vol.
32%
33°C
$320 Vol.
14%
34°C
$133 Vol.
9%
35°C
$152 Vol.
3%
36°C o superiore
$123 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon withdrawal and lingering moisture from a western disturbance and cyclonic circulation over western Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–32 °C for Lucknow’s September 19 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60 % chance of scattered thunderstorms, which limit surface heating and cap daytime peaks near seasonal norms of 32–33 °C. High humidity (70–90 %) and light northerly winds further suppress extreme values, while any earlier clearing could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or subsidence dominates, directly influencing the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,149Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon withdrawal and lingering moisture from a western disturbance and cyclonic circulation over western Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–32 °C for Lucknow’s September 19 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60 % chance of scattered thunderstorms, which limit surface heating and cap daytime peaks near seasonal norms of 32–33 °C. High humidity (70–90 %) and light northerly winds further suppress extreme values, while any earlier clearing could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or subsidence dominates, directly influencing the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,149Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon withdrawal and lingering moisture from a western disturbance and cyclonic circulation over western Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–32 °C for Lucknow’s September 19 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60 % chance of scattered thunderstorms, which limit surface heating and cap daytime peaks near seasonal norms of 32–33 °C. High humidity (70–90 %) and light northerly winds further suppress extreme values, while any earlier clearing could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or subsidence dominates, directly influencing the narrow probability spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti