Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models position 28–29°C as the most likely high for Beijing on September 19, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability for 29°C. Light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming above the 25.6°C climatological average, while model consensus shows little spread around this range. Recent runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Traders appear to weight official guidance and ensemble agreement heavily ahead of the final observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 19 settembre?
29°C 40%
28°C 32%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
32%
29°C
40%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 32%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
$527 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$365 Vol.
3%
27°C
$642 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,264 Vol.
32%
29°C
$890 Vol.
40%
30°C
$768 Vol.
18%
31°C
$284 Vol.
3%
32°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models position 28–29°C as the most likely high for Beijing on September 19, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability for 29°C. Light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming above the 25.6°C climatological average, while model consensus shows little spread around this range. Recent runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Traders appear to weight official guidance and ensemble agreement heavily ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,838Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models position 28–29°C as the most likely high for Beijing on September 19, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability for 29°C. Light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming above the 25.6°C climatological average, while model consensus shows little spread around this range. Recent runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Traders appear to weight official guidance and ensemble agreement heavily ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,838Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models position 28–29°C as the most likely high for Beijing on September 19, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability for 29°C. Light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming above the 25.6°C climatological average, while model consensus shows little spread around this range. Recent runs indicate no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the outcome between 28°C and 30°C. Traders appear to weight official guidance and ensemble agreement heavily ahead of the final observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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