Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are the main drivers keeping Chongqing’s overnight minimum on September 22 near 20–21 °C, aligning with the closely matched 21 °C and 20 °C market outcomes. Multiple forecast models show high humidity, light winds, and widespread showers suppressing radiative cooling, with expected lows clustered around 20–22 °C and daytime highs only marginally higher. This pattern matches September’s typical monsoon-influenced conditions but is reinforced by the current active precipitation episode. Traders appear to weigh the narrow temperature window against minor model spread in exact minimum readings, while the low probability assigned to 26 °C+ reflects the absence of any warming trend or clearing skies that could elevate overnight values. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before midnight will provide the clearest resolution signal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 22 settembre?
21°C 50%
26°C o superiore 50%
16°C o inferiore 44%
20°C 40%
16°C o inferiore
44%
17°C
37%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
27%
21°C
50%
22°C
40%
23°C
36%
24°C
35%
25°C
37%
26°C o superiore
50%
21°C 50%
26°C o superiore 50%
16°C o inferiore 44%
20°C 40%
16°C o inferiore
44%
17°C
37%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
27%
21°C
50%
22°C
40%
23°C
36%
24°C
35%
25°C
37%
26°C o superiore
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are the main drivers keeping Chongqing’s overnight minimum on September 22 near 20–21 °C, aligning with the closely matched 21 °C and 20 °C market outcomes. Multiple forecast models show high humidity, light winds, and widespread showers suppressing radiative cooling, with expected lows clustered around 20–22 °C and daytime highs only marginally higher. This pattern matches September’s typical monsoon-influenced conditions but is reinforced by the current active precipitation episode. Traders appear to weigh the narrow temperature window against minor model spread in exact minimum readings, while the low probability assigned to 26 °C+ reflects the absence of any warming trend or clearing skies that could elevate overnight values. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before midnight will provide the clearest resolution signal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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