Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs updated within the past 48 hours, project a daily maximum near 19°C in Moscow on September 19 under predominantly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and a chance of brief showers. This setup aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 19°C (46.5%), 20°C (28.0%), and 18°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest diurnal warming amid above-average September humidity and limited insolation. Historical climatology shows typical highs around 15–16°C, but recent model consensus indicates slightly warmer advection without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky amplification that could push readings toward 21°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the weekend will refine exact peak timing and any convective adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 19 settembre?
19°C 47%
16°C 28%
20°C 28%
18°C 27%
13°C o inferiore
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
28%
17°C
15%
18°C
27%
19°C
47%
20°C
28%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C o superiore
27%
19°C 47%
16°C 28%
20°C 28%
18°C 27%
13°C o inferiore
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
28%
17°C
15%
18°C
27%
19°C
47%
20°C
28%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C o superiore
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs updated within the past 48 hours, project a daily maximum near 19°C in Moscow on September 19 under predominantly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and a chance of brief showers. This setup aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 19°C (46.5%), 20°C (28.0%), and 18°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest diurnal warming amid above-average September humidity and limited insolation. Historical climatology shows typical highs around 15–16°C, but recent model consensus indicates slightly warmer advection without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky amplification that could push readings toward 21°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the weekend will refine exact peak timing and any convective adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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