**Clear skies and high-pressure dominance over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 29°C today.** Official forecasts from AEMET and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 28–29°C under sunny conditions, light southeasterly winds, and low humidity, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic patterns that favor strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with afternoon readings expected to crest in the upper 20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders heavily favoring 29°C (68.5%) over 30°C (28.5%) or 28°C (5.5%), indicating limited expectation of either a stronger ridge or any cooling influence. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Madrid’s primary observing station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 19 settembre?
29°C 61%
30°C 36%
28°C 5%
31°C <1%
$27,693 Vol.
$27,693 Vol.
19 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
61%
30°C
36%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 61%
30°C 36%
28°C 5%
31°C <1%
$27,693 Vol.
$27,693 Vol.
19 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,456 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,544 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,264 Vol.
5%
29°C
$7,469 Vol.
61%
30°C
$8,239 Vol.
36%
31°C
$2,576 Vol.
1%
32°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,387 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and high-pressure dominance over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 29°C today.** Official forecasts from AEMET and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 28–29°C under sunny conditions, light southeasterly winds, and low humidity, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic patterns that favor strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with afternoon readings expected to crest in the upper 20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders heavily favoring 29°C (68.5%) over 30°C (28.5%) or 28°C (5.5%), indicating limited expectation of either a stronger ridge or any cooling influence. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Madrid’s primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$27,693Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and high-pressure dominance over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 29°C today.** Official forecasts from AEMET and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 28–29°C under sunny conditions, light southeasterly winds, and low humidity, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic patterns that favor strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with afternoon readings expected to crest in the upper 20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders heavily favoring 29°C (68.5%) over 30°C (28.5%) or 28°C (5.5%), indicating limited expectation of either a stronger ridge or any cooling influence. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Madrid’s primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,693Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and high-pressure dominance over central Spain are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature near 29°C today.** Official forecasts from AEMET and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 28–29°C under sunny conditions, light southeasterly winds, and low humidity, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic patterns that favor strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with afternoon readings expected to crest in the upper 20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders heavily favoring 29°C (68.5%) over 30°C (28.5%) or 28°C (5.5%), indicating limited expectation of either a stronger ridge or any cooling influence. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Madrid’s primary observing station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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