Trader consensus on the Chengdu temperature market centers on forecast uncertainty for peak daytime heating on September 21 amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. Latest model guidance from regional sources shows highs clustered between 26–28°C, with limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing stronger warming. This narrow spread explains the tight distribution across 27–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 25–27°C provide context, while the proximity to resolution keeps focus on the next official update from monitoring agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 21 settembre?
28°C 29%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
30°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 29%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
30°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$153 Vol.
4%
25°C
$92 Vol.
5%
26°C
$83 Vol.
9%
27°C
$69 Vol.
18%
28°C
$330 Vol.
29%
29°C
$304 Vol.
26%
30°C
$1,011 Vol.
18%
31°C
$670 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C o superiore
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chengdu temperature market centers on forecast uncertainty for peak daytime heating on September 21 amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. Latest model guidance from regional sources shows highs clustered between 26–28°C, with limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing stronger warming. This narrow spread explains the tight distribution across 27–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 25–27°C provide context, while the proximity to resolution keeps focus on the next official update from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,823Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chengdu temperature market centers on forecast uncertainty for peak daytime heating on September 21 amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. Latest model guidance from regional sources shows highs clustered between 26–28°C, with limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing stronger warming. This narrow spread explains the tight distribution across 27–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 25–27°C provide context, while the proximity to resolution keeps focus on the next official update from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,823Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chengdu temperature market centers on forecast uncertainty for peak daytime heating on September 21 amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. Latest model guidance from regional sources shows highs clustered between 26–28°C, with limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing stronger warming. This narrow spread explains the tight distribution across 27–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 25–27°C provide context, while the proximity to resolution keeps focus on the next official update from monitoring agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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