Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 20 near 17–22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity. This range reflects typical late-September cooling from the seasonal baseline of 18–20 °C lows, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning shows near-even implied odds between outcomes at or below 16 °C and exactly 21 °C because ensemble guidance diverges on the precise nocturnal minimum, with some runs holding temperatures above 20 °C while others allow brief dips into the upper teens amid variable steering flow. No strong cold-air advection or precipitation event is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 20 settembre?
16°C o inferiore 86%
26°C o superiore 67%
21°C 45%
17°C 39%
16°C o inferiore
86%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
22%
21°C
45%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C o superiore
67%
16°C o inferiore 86%
26°C o superiore 67%
21°C 45%
17°C 39%
16°C o inferiore
86%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
22%
21°C
45%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C o superiore
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 20 near 17–22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity. This range reflects typical late-September cooling from the seasonal baseline of 18–20 °C lows, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning shows near-even implied odds between outcomes at or below 16 °C and exactly 21 °C because ensemble guidance diverges on the precise nocturnal minimum, with some runs holding temperatures above 20 °C while others allow brief dips into the upper teens amid variable steering flow. No strong cold-air advection or precipitation event is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti