Recent heavy rainfall and a persistent influx of cooler polar air have suppressed maximum temperatures across São Paulo well below September climatological averages of 24–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local monitoring point to a high near 18–19°C on September 16 amid lingering cloud cover and light showers, with limited daytime heating expected under southeasterly flow. This atypical pattern, following the city’s record September rainfall through mid-month, has shifted trader consensus toward the 19–21°C range as the most probable outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer readings that would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently indicated in model guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 16 settembre?
20°C 39%
19°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
14°C o meno
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
26%
20°C
39%
21°C
21%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
14°C o meno
$195 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,259 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,072 Vol.
10%
19°C
$890 Vol.
26%
20°C
$852 Vol.
39%
21°C
$1,453 Vol.
21%
22°C
$150 Vol.
2%
23°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$434 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a persistent influx of cooler polar air have suppressed maximum temperatures across São Paulo well below September climatological averages of 24–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local monitoring point to a high near 18–19°C on September 16 amid lingering cloud cover and light showers, with limited daytime heating expected under southeasterly flow. This atypical pattern, following the city’s record September rainfall through mid-month, has shifted trader consensus toward the 19–21°C range as the most probable outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer readings that would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently indicated in model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,806Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a persistent influx of cooler polar air have suppressed maximum temperatures across São Paulo well below September climatological averages of 24–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local monitoring point to a high near 18–19°C on September 16 amid lingering cloud cover and light showers, with limited daytime heating expected under southeasterly flow. This atypical pattern, following the city’s record September rainfall through mid-month, has shifted trader consensus toward the 19–21°C range as the most probable outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer readings that would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently indicated in model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,806Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and a persistent influx of cooler polar air have suppressed maximum temperatures across São Paulo well below September climatological averages of 24–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local monitoring point to a high near 18–19°C on September 16 amid lingering cloud cover and light showers, with limited daytime heating expected under southeasterly flow. This atypical pattern, following the city’s record September rainfall through mid-month, has shifted trader consensus toward the 19–21°C range as the most probable outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer readings that would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently indicated in model guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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