Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project mid-90s highs for Houston on September 16, aligning with the persistent warm pattern seen in mid-September 2026 and southerly flow from the Gulf. This supports the market's elevated implied probability for 100°F or higher as traders weigh potential model spreads, reduced cloud cover, or limited afternoon convection that could allow stronger daytime heating. Historical averages near 89°F and records around 98°F provide context, while recent days near 95–96°F reinforce expectations of above-normal temperatures. Variability in steering patterns and moisture could still moderate peaks into the low-to-mid 90s, with updated runs and observations due before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 16 settembre?
96-97°F 39%
92-93°F 31%
94-95°F 28%
88-89°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
81°F o inferiore
7%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
19%
100°F o superiore
7%
96-97°F 39%
92-93°F 31%
94-95°F 28%
88-89°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
81°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
12%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
31%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
28%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
39%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
19%
100°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project mid-90s highs for Houston on September 16, aligning with the persistent warm pattern seen in mid-September 2026 and southerly flow from the Gulf. This supports the market's elevated implied probability for 100°F or higher as traders weigh potential model spreads, reduced cloud cover, or limited afternoon convection that could allow stronger daytime heating. Historical averages near 89°F and records around 98°F provide context, while recent days near 95–96°F reinforce expectations of above-normal temperatures. Variability in steering patterns and moisture could still moderate peaks into the low-to-mid 90s, with updated runs and observations due before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project mid-90s highs for Houston on September 16, aligning with the persistent warm pattern seen in mid-September 2026 and southerly flow from the Gulf. This supports the market's elevated implied probability for 100°F or higher as traders weigh potential model spreads, reduced cloud cover, or limited afternoon convection that could allow stronger daytime heating. Historical averages near 89°F and records around 98°F provide context, while recent days near 95–96°F reinforce expectations of above-normal temperatures. Variability in steering patterns and moisture could still moderate peaks into the low-to-mid 90s, with updated runs and observations due before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources project mid-90s highs for Houston on September 16, aligning with the persistent warm pattern seen in mid-September 2026 and southerly flow from the Gulf. This supports the market's elevated implied probability for 100°F or higher as traders weigh potential model spreads, reduced cloud cover, or limited afternoon convection that could allow stronger daytime heating. Historical averages near 89°F and records around 98°F provide context, while recent days near 95–96°F reinforce expectations of above-normal temperatures. Variability in steering patterns and moisture could still moderate peaks into the low-to-mid 90s, with updated runs and observations due before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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