Recent forecast models for Qingdao on September 16 point to mostly sunny conditions with southerly winds supporting daytime heating near 29–30°C, yet trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (38%). This positioning reflects uncertainty in peak values driven by variable insolation, low humidity, and potential urban heat effects along the coast, where small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor above-normal warmth. Official station readings at resolution will determine the outcome amid typical model spread for short-range temperature forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 16 settembre?
32°C 44%
33°C 39%
34°C 9%
31°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
44%
33°C
39%
34°C
9%
35°C o superiore
3%
32°C 44%
33°C 39%
34°C 9%
31°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$348 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$352 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$534 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$298 Vol.
1%
29°C
$260 Vol.
2%
30°C
$253 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,044 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,765 Vol.
44%
33°C
$2,909 Vol.
39%
34°C
$1,123 Vol.
9%
35°C o superiore
$332 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Qingdao on September 16 point to mostly sunny conditions with southerly winds supporting daytime heating near 29–30°C, yet trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (38%). This positioning reflects uncertainty in peak values driven by variable insolation, low humidity, and potential urban heat effects along the coast, where small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor above-normal warmth. Official station readings at resolution will determine the outcome amid typical model spread for short-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$9,219Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Qingdao on September 16 point to mostly sunny conditions with southerly winds supporting daytime heating near 29–30°C, yet trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (38%). This positioning reflects uncertainty in peak values driven by variable insolation, low humidity, and potential urban heat effects along the coast, where small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor above-normal warmth. Official station readings at resolution will determine the outcome amid typical model spread for short-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,219Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Qingdao on September 16 point to mostly sunny conditions with southerly winds supporting daytime heating near 29–30°C, yet trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (38%). This positioning reflects uncertainty in peak values driven by variable insolation, low humidity, and potential urban heat effects along the coast, where small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor above-normal warmth. Official station readings at resolution will determine the outcome amid typical model spread for short-range temperature forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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