Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including GFS runs, points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations showing daytime highs of 29–30°C on September 14. Trader emphasis on the 28°C outcome reflects model agreement on modest diurnal warming limited by cloud cover and onshore flow, while the secondary 27°C probability accounts for potential slight underperformance if marine influence strengthens. Updated short-range guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 15 settembre?
28°C 66%
27°C 30%
29°C 8%
26°C 2%
NUOVO
$10,274 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,274 Vol.
15 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
30%
28°C
66%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 66%
27°C 30%
29°C 8%
26°C 2%
NUOVO
$10,274 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,274 Vol.
15 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$198 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$500 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,745 Vol.
30%
28°C
$2,133 Vol.
66%
29°C
$1,453 Vol.
8%
30°C
$584 Vol.
1%
31°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$288 Vol.
1%
33°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including GFS runs, points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations showing daytime highs of 29–30°C on September 14. Trader emphasis on the 28°C outcome reflects model agreement on modest diurnal warming limited by cloud cover and onshore flow, while the secondary 27°C probability accounts for potential slight underperformance if marine influence strengthens. Updated short-range guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,274Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including GFS runs, points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations showing daytime highs of 29–30°C on September 14. Trader emphasis on the 28°C outcome reflects model agreement on modest diurnal warming limited by cloud cover and onshore flow, while the secondary 27°C probability accounts for potential slight underperformance if marine influence strengthens. Updated short-range guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,274Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including GFS runs, points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations showing daytime highs of 29–30°C on September 14. Trader emphasis on the 28°C outcome reflects model agreement on modest diurnal warming limited by cloud cover and onshore flow, while the secondary 27°C probability accounts for potential slight underperformance if marine influence strengthens. Updated short-range guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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