Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 14 under the persisting northeast monsoon, with east to northeast winds of force 3–4, sunny intervals, and only isolated morning or nighttime showers. Multiple numerical models converge on highs near 29–31°C, reflecting limited daytime heating due to moderate humidity, sea surface temperatures near 28°C, and potential cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C because small shifts in cloud timing, wind strength, or thunderstorm development could push the peak across these thresholds, while historical September averages near 30°C provide context for the narrow spread in implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 settembre?
32°C 26%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C o superiore
4%
32°C 26%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$61 Vol.
19%
31°C
$35 Vol.
24%
32°C
$66 Vol.
26%
33°C
$67 Vol.
20%
34°C
$310 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 14 under the persisting northeast monsoon, with east to northeast winds of force 3–4, sunny intervals, and only isolated morning or nighttime showers. Multiple numerical models converge on highs near 29–31°C, reflecting limited daytime heating due to moderate humidity, sea surface temperatures near 28°C, and potential cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C because small shifts in cloud timing, wind strength, or thunderstorm development could push the peak across these thresholds, while historical September averages near 30°C provide context for the narrow spread in implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$517Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 14 under the persisting northeast monsoon, with east to northeast winds of force 3–4, sunny intervals, and only isolated morning or nighttime showers. Multiple numerical models converge on highs near 29–31°C, reflecting limited daytime heating due to moderate humidity, sea surface temperatures near 28°C, and potential cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C because small shifts in cloud timing, wind strength, or thunderstorm development could push the peak across these thresholds, while historical September averages near 30°C provide context for the narrow spread in implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$517Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 14 under the persisting northeast monsoon, with east to northeast winds of force 3–4, sunny intervals, and only isolated morning or nighttime showers. Multiple numerical models converge on highs near 29–31°C, reflecting limited daytime heating due to moderate humidity, sea surface temperatures near 28°C, and potential cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C because small shifts in cloud timing, wind strength, or thunderstorm development could push the peak across these thresholds, while historical September averages near 30°C provide context for the narrow spread in implied probabilities. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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