Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 14 settembre?
26°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
14 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
14 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$249 Vol.
No
22°C
$754 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,268 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,051 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,091 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,839 Vol.
Sì
27°C
$5,895 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,818 Vol.
No
29°C
$24 Vol.
No
30°C
$618 Vol.
No
31°C o superiore
$40 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24,649Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,649Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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