Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Miami on September 14, with scattered thunderstorms and light winds supporting overnight lows near 77–79°F, close to the seasonal average minimum. Trader sentiment shows a relatively even spread across mid-70s outcomes because short-range model ensembles diverge on the precise degree of nocturnal radiational cooling, which depends on variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, boundary-layer humidity, and weak steering winds. A modest chance for 69°F or below arises if clearer skies allow stronger cooling than climatology suggests, while higher probabilities for 76–79°F reflect the baseline influence of urban heat retention and marine air. Updated model runs and National Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Miami il 14 settembre?
69°F o inferiore 48%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
69°F o inferiore
48%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o superiore
1%
69°F o inferiore 48%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
69°F o inferiore
48%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Miami on September 14, with scattered thunderstorms and light winds supporting overnight lows near 77–79°F, close to the seasonal average minimum. Trader sentiment shows a relatively even spread across mid-70s outcomes because short-range model ensembles diverge on the precise degree of nocturnal radiational cooling, which depends on variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, boundary-layer humidity, and weak steering winds. A modest chance for 69°F or below arises if clearer skies allow stronger cooling than climatology suggests, while higher probabilities for 76–79°F reflect the baseline influence of urban heat retention and marine air. Updated model runs and National Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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