Current forecast models, including GFS and local Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance, position a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 16 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for that threshold. Southerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures above seasonal norms of about 15°C while increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances limit further warming, keeping most ensemble members between 15–17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band, as recent runs show limited spread and no strong signals for outliers above 18°C or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and official observations from Helsinki stations on September 15–16 will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 16 settembre?
16°C 63%
17°C 23%
15°C 13%
14°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
13%
16°C
63%
17°C
23%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 63%
17°C 23%
15°C 13%
14°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$71 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$11 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$140 Vol.
3%
15°C
$659 Vol.
13%
16°C
$2,523 Vol.
63%
17°C
$166 Vol.
23%
18°C
$159 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS and local Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance, position a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 16 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for that threshold. Southerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures above seasonal norms of about 15°C while increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances limit further warming, keeping most ensemble members between 15–17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band, as recent runs show limited spread and no strong signals for outliers above 18°C or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and official observations from Helsinki stations on September 15–16 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,991Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS and local Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance, position a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 16 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for that threshold. Southerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures above seasonal norms of about 15°C while increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances limit further warming, keeping most ensemble members between 15–17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band, as recent runs show limited spread and no strong signals for outliers above 18°C or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and official observations from Helsinki stations on September 15–16 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,991Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS and local Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance, position a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 16 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for that threshold. Southerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures above seasonal norms of about 15°C while increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances limit further warming, keeping most ensemble members between 15–17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band, as recent runs show limited spread and no strong signals for outliers above 18°C or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and official observations from Helsinki stations on September 15–16 will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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