Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high near 23–26°C for Mexico City on September 16, with cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers typical of the late wet season helping cap afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C (56.5%) and 26°C (30.0%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance against September's climatological average high of roughly 25°C at the city's 2,300-meter elevation. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influences and below-normal rainfall so far this month, reducing cooling from convection, though model spread on exact moisture and timing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at standard stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 16 settembre?
25°C 57%
26°C 30%
24°C 8%
27°C o superiore 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
57%
26°C
30%
27°C o superiore
6%
25°C 57%
26°C 30%
24°C 8%
27°C o superiore 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$502 Vol.
1%
18°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$235 Vol.
1%
22°C
$236 Vol.
2%
23°C
$317 Vol.
2%
24°C
$654 Vol.
8%
25°C
$2,067 Vol.
57%
26°C
$2,210 Vol.
30%
27°C o superiore
$244 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high near 23–26°C for Mexico City on September 16, with cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers typical of the late wet season helping cap afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C (56.5%) and 26°C (30.0%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance against September's climatological average high of roughly 25°C at the city's 2,300-meter elevation. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influences and below-normal rainfall so far this month, reducing cooling from convection, though model spread on exact moisture and timing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,372Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high near 23–26°C for Mexico City on September 16, with cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers typical of the late wet season helping cap afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C (56.5%) and 26°C (30.0%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance against September's climatological average high of roughly 25°C at the city's 2,300-meter elevation. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influences and below-normal rainfall so far this month, reducing cooling from convection, though model spread on exact moisture and timing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,372Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high near 23–26°C for Mexico City on September 16, with cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers typical of the late wet season helping cap afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C (56.5%) and 26°C (30.0%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance against September's climatological average high of roughly 25°C at the city's 2,300-meter elevation. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influences and below-normal rainfall so far this month, reducing cooling from convection, though model spread on exact moisture and timing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at standard stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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