Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 15 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds expected to moderate peak readings. High humidity near 80% and sea surface temperatures around 29°C support muggy conditions, while afternoon convection and rainfall often cap maxima below the historical September average of roughly 31°C. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows limited warming potential unless clearer breaks develop, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability in tropical steering patterns and the timing of any convective activity that could suppress or briefly elevate temperatures before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 15 settembre?
33°C 49%
32°C 35%
31°C 11%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
35%
33°C
49%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 49%
32°C 35%
31°C 11%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$66 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$465 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,875 Vol.
11%
32°C
$1,093 Vol.
35%
33°C
$2,839 Vol.
49%
34°C
$868 Vol.
7%
35°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
37°C o superiore
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 15 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds expected to moderate peak readings. High humidity near 80% and sea surface temperatures around 29°C support muggy conditions, while afternoon convection and rainfall often cap maxima below the historical September average of roughly 31°C. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows limited warming potential unless clearer breaks develop, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability in tropical steering patterns and the timing of any convective activity that could suppress or briefly elevate temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$7,898Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 15 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds expected to moderate peak readings. High humidity near 80% and sea surface temperatures around 29°C support muggy conditions, while afternoon convection and rainfall often cap maxima below the historical September average of roughly 31°C. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows limited warming potential unless clearer breaks develop, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability in tropical steering patterns and the timing of any convective activity that could suppress or briefly elevate temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,898Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 15 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds expected to moderate peak readings. High humidity near 80% and sea surface temperatures around 29°C support muggy conditions, while afternoon convection and rainfall often cap maxima below the historical September average of roughly 31°C. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows limited warming potential unless clearer breaks develop, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical variability in tropical steering patterns and the timing of any convective activity that could suppress or briefly elevate temperatures before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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