Current forecast models from PAGASA and international sources point to Manila's overnight minimum on September 15 falling in the 24–26°C range, driven by a weakening southwest monsoon (habagat) and localized thunderstorms under high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows milder than in clearer, drier scenarios typical of the season. Slight model differences arise from the timing and intensity of convective showers, which can nudge minima by 1–2°C depending on whether stronger evening precipitation or clearer breaks occur. With outcomes clustered tightly between 25–27°C, traders are weighing the latest model consensus against historical September baselines near 25°C and any fresh PAGASA or ECMWF updates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Manila il 15 settembre?
31°C o superiore 90%
21°C o inferiore 86%
26°C 29%
27°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
86%
22°C
13%
23°C
19%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
27%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C o superiore
90%
31°C o superiore 90%
21°C o inferiore 86%
26°C 29%
27°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
86%
22°C
$10 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$10 Vol.
17%
30°C
$10 Vol.
17%
31°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from PAGASA and international sources point to Manila's overnight minimum on September 15 falling in the 24–26°C range, driven by a weakening southwest monsoon (habagat) and localized thunderstorms under high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows milder than in clearer, drier scenarios typical of the season. Slight model differences arise from the timing and intensity of convective showers, which can nudge minima by 1–2°C depending on whether stronger evening precipitation or clearer breaks occur. With outcomes clustered tightly between 25–27°C, traders are weighing the latest model consensus against historical September baselines near 25°C and any fresh PAGASA or ECMWF updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$50Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from PAGASA and international sources point to Manila's overnight minimum on September 15 falling in the 24–26°C range, driven by a weakening southwest monsoon (habagat) and localized thunderstorms under high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows milder than in clearer, drier scenarios typical of the season. Slight model differences arise from the timing and intensity of convective showers, which can nudge minima by 1–2°C depending on whether stronger evening precipitation or clearer breaks occur. With outcomes clustered tightly between 25–27°C, traders are weighing the latest model consensus against historical September baselines near 25°C and any fresh PAGASA or ECMWF updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from PAGASA and international sources point to Manila's overnight minimum on September 15 falling in the 24–26°C range, driven by a weakening southwest monsoon (habagat) and localized thunderstorms under high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows milder than in clearer, drier scenarios typical of the season. Slight model differences arise from the timing and intensity of convective showers, which can nudge minima by 1–2°C depending on whether stronger evening precipitation or clearer breaks occur. With outcomes clustered tightly between 25–27°C, traders are weighing the latest model consensus against historical September baselines near 25°C and any fresh PAGASA or ECMWF updates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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