Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima average around 12°C, with rare drops below 8°C, while an intensifying El Niño pattern favors slightly drier and potentially milder conditions across central Mexico this month. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around these values or the tail risk of 6°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for further cooling before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 15 settembre?
6°C o inferiore 98%
16°C o superiore 47%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
98%
7°C
22%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C o superiore
47%
6°C o inferiore 98%
16°C o superiore 47%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
98%
7°C
$0 Vol.
22%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$3 Vol.
21%
15°C
$3 Vol.
39%
16°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima average around 12°C, with rare drops below 8°C, while an intensifying El Niño pattern favors slightly drier and potentially milder conditions across central Mexico this month. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around these values or the tail risk of 6°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for further cooling before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$5Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima average around 12°C, with rare drops below 8°C, while an intensifying El Niño pattern favors slightly drier and potentially milder conditions across central Mexico this month. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around these values or the tail risk of 6°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for further cooling before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Mexico City overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima average around 12°C, with rare drops below 8°C, while an intensifying El Niño pattern favors slightly drier and potentially milder conditions across central Mexico this month. Market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered around these values or the tail risk of 6°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for further cooling before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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