**Recent forecast model runs indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 15, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a minimum near 14°C, with several ensembles clustering between 12–16°C depending on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts. Historical September 15 lows average around 11°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a lack of strong high pressure favor warmer baselines. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler pockets under variable clouds against the prevailing mild advection, keeping 15–17°C outcomes dominant while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C or below if clearer breaks develop overnight. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 15 settembre?
11°C o inferiore 41%
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
15°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
41%
12°C
8%
13°C
16%
14°C
19%
15°C
28%
16°C
29%
17°C
29%
18°C
19%
19°C
18%
20°C
2%
21°C o superiore
1%
11°C o inferiore 41%
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
15°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
41%
12°C
$10 Vol.
8%
13°C
$39 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$9 Vol.
29%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C o superiore
$128 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 15, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a minimum near 14°C, with several ensembles clustering between 12–16°C depending on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts. Historical September 15 lows average around 11°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a lack of strong high pressure favor warmer baselines. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler pockets under variable clouds against the prevailing mild advection, keeping 15–17°C outcomes dominant while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C or below if clearer breaks develop overnight. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$206Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 15, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a minimum near 14°C, with several ensembles clustering between 12–16°C depending on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts. Historical September 15 lows average around 11°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a lack of strong high pressure favor warmer baselines. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler pockets under variable clouds against the prevailing mild advection, keeping 15–17°C outcomes dominant while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C or below if clearer breaks develop overnight. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$206Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model runs indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 15, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a minimum near 14°C, with several ensembles clustering between 12–16°C depending on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts. Historical September 15 lows average around 11°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and a lack of strong high pressure favor warmer baselines. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler pockets under variable clouds against the prevailing mild advection, keeping 15–17°C outcomes dominant while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C or below if clearer breaks develop overnight. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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