Latest forecast models from European meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that restricts radiative cooling overnight. This aligns closely with the 66% market-implied probability for 13°C, as current observations show temperatures holding near 13–14°C into the evening with dew points around 12°C. Historical climatology places the average September 16 low at 11°C, yet 2026 conditions feature above-average warmth and humidity that suppress further drops below 12°C. Upcoming overnight updates from official monitoring will determine if any brief clear spells allow a dip toward 12°C, though consensus currently favors the 13°C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 16 settembre?
13°C 100.0%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$14,957 Vol.
$14,957 Vol.
16 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Sì
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o superiore
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$14,957 Vol.
$14,957 Vol.
16 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$26 Vol.
No
9°C
$26 Vol.
No
10°C
$0 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$40 Vol.
No
13°C
$63 Vol.
Sì
14°C
$66 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,313 Vol.
No
16°C
$13,334 Vol.
No
17°C
$47 Vol.
No
18°C o superiore
$42 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from European meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that restricts radiative cooling overnight. This aligns closely with the 66% market-implied probability for 13°C, as current observations show temperatures holding near 13–14°C into the evening with dew points around 12°C. Historical climatology places the average September 16 low at 11°C, yet 2026 conditions feature above-average warmth and humidity that suppress further drops below 12°C. Upcoming overnight updates from official monitoring will determine if any brief clear spells allow a dip toward 12°C, though consensus currently favors the 13°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$14,957Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from European meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that restricts radiative cooling overnight. This aligns closely with the 66% market-implied probability for 13°C, as current observations show temperatures holding near 13–14°C into the evening with dew points around 12°C. Historical climatology places the average September 16 low at 11°C, yet 2026 conditions feature above-average warmth and humidity that suppress further drops below 12°C. Upcoming overnight updates from official monitoring will determine if any brief clear spells allow a dip toward 12°C, though consensus currently favors the 13°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,957Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Latest forecast models from European meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that restricts radiative cooling overnight. This aligns closely with the 66% market-implied probability for 13°C, as current observations show temperatures holding near 13–14°C into the evening with dew points around 12°C. Historical climatology places the average September 16 low at 11°C, yet 2026 conditions feature above-average warmth and humidity that suppress further drops below 12°C. Upcoming overnight updates from official monitoring will determine if any brief clear spells allow a dip toward 12°C, though consensus currently favors the 13°C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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