Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Paris on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, establishing the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 38%. High pressure and modest humidity are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the outcome above the long-term average high of roughly 22°C but short of stronger warming signals. Recent model runs show little shift in the 25–27°C range, with only minor spread from cloud timing or boundary-layer details that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Official Météo-France updates and final overnight model cycles ahead of resolution will provide the last key inputs for trader adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 13 settembre?
26°C 40%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
40%
27°C
20%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
40%
27°C
20%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Paris on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, establishing the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 38%. High pressure and modest humidity are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the outcome above the long-term average high of roughly 22°C but short of stronger warming signals. Recent model runs show little shift in the 25–27°C range, with only minor spread from cloud timing or boundary-layer details that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Official Météo-France updates and final overnight model cycles ahead of resolution will provide the last key inputs for trader adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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