Current forecasts from GFS and related models indicate Paris will experience clear to mostly cloudy skies overnight into September 13 under high pressure, with light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover promoting radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 15–16°C. This setup aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 14°C and 15°C, as traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger cooling if dew points remain low and winds stay calm. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around exact overnight lows, with some runs hinting at 13°C under optimal clear conditions, while warmer advection would push toward 16°C or higher. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the current stable anticyclonic pattern and recent above-normal daytime highs reinforce the consensus around mid-teens for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 13 settembre?
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 23%
17°C 16%
9°C o inferiore
2%
10°C
14%
11°C
14%
12°C
6%
13°C
23%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
11%
17°C
16%
18°C
14%
19°C o superiore
4%
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 23%
17°C 16%
9°C o inferiore
2%
10°C
14%
11°C
14%
12°C
6%
13°C
23%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
11%
17°C
16%
18°C
14%
19°C o superiore
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and related models indicate Paris will experience clear to mostly cloudy skies overnight into September 13 under high pressure, with light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover promoting radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 15–16°C. This setup aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 14°C and 15°C, as traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger cooling if dew points remain low and winds stay calm. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around exact overnight lows, with some runs hinting at 13°C under optimal clear conditions, while warmer advection would push toward 16°C or higher. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the current stable anticyclonic pattern and recent above-normal daytime highs reinforce the consensus around mid-teens for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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