Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 15 settembre?
22°C 32%
21°C 23%
23°C 21%
20°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
23%
22°C
32%
23°C
21%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C o superiore
1%
22°C 32%
21°C 23%
23°C 21%
20°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$22 Vol.
1%
17°C
$22 Vol.
1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
3%
19°C
$29 Vol.
4%
20°C
$240 Vol.
10%
21°C
$234 Vol.
23%
22°C
$564 Vol.
32%
23°C
$648 Vol.
21%
24°C
$276 Vol.
9%
25°C
$22 Vol.
6%
26°C o superiore
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$2,099Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,099Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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