Current National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across the southeastern and midwestern United States on September 15, 2026, driven by a moist air mass and weak frontal boundaries, with 40–90% probability of measurable precipitation at stations such as those in Florida, the Gulf Coast, and parts of the Midwest. Official 6-hour probability of precipitation products indicate localized totals exceeding 0.01–0.10 inches in active cells, while drier high-pressure conditions suppress rain chances in the Northeast and much of the West. Model consensus from recent runs highlights afternoon convective initiation tied to daytime heating, with uncertainty remaining in exact storm tracks and intensity. Historical mid-September climatology shows elevated thunderstorm frequency in these regions, and traders monitor real-time radar, updated NWS short-range forecasts, and station observations for resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà il 15 settembre?
New York, NY
-
Los Angeles, CA
4%
Chicago, IL
73%
Houston, TX
25%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
37%
Philadelphia, PA
3%
Denver, CO
44%
Washington, DC
3%
Atlanta, GA
30%
Miami, FL
46%
Seattle, WA
51%
Boston, MA
4%
New Orleans, LA
9%
San Francisco, CA
4%
$984 Vol.
New York, NY
-
Los Angeles, CA
4%
Chicago, IL
73%
Houston, TX
25%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
37%
Philadelphia, PA
3%
Denver, CO
44%
Washington, DC
3%
Atlanta, GA
30%
Miami, FL
46%
Seattle, WA
51%
Boston, MA
4%
New Orleans, LA
9%
San Francisco, CA
4%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Current National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across the southeastern and midwestern United States on September 15, 2026, driven by a moist air mass and weak frontal boundaries, with 40–90% probability of measurable precipitation at stations such as those in Florida, the Gulf Coast, and parts of the Midwest. Official 6-hour probability of precipitation products indicate localized totals exceeding 0.01–0.10 inches in active cells, while drier high-pressure conditions suppress rain chances in the Northeast and much of the West. Model consensus from recent runs highlights afternoon convective initiation tied to daytime heating, with uncertainty remaining in exact storm tracks and intensity. Historical mid-September climatology shows elevated thunderstorm frequency in these regions, and traders monitor real-time radar, updated NWS short-range forecasts, and station observations for resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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