**Trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around Qingdao’s overnight minimum on September 16, with 18 °C holding a slim lead over the 16 °C-or-below and 17 °C bins.** Clear skies and light southerly winds are allowing radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–29 °C, yet the city’s coastal location and moderating Yellow Sea influence limit how far temperatures can fall. Model guidance from regional forecasts shows overnight lows clustered between roughly 22–24 °C, but small differences in wind speed, humidity, and the precise timing of any late-night clearing can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C at the official station. With resolution hinging on a single night’s observation, traders are weighing these micro-scale variables against historical mid-September baselines for the Shandong coast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 16 settembre?
16°C o inferiore 90%
17°C 90%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
16°C o inferiore
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
16°C o inferiore 90%
17°C 90%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
16°C o inferiore
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around Qingdao’s overnight minimum on September 16, with 18 °C holding a slim lead over the 16 °C-or-below and 17 °C bins.** Clear skies and light southerly winds are allowing radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–29 °C, yet the city’s coastal location and moderating Yellow Sea influence limit how far temperatures can fall. Model guidance from regional forecasts shows overnight lows clustered between roughly 22–24 °C, but small differences in wind speed, humidity, and the precise timing of any late-night clearing can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C at the official station. With resolution hinging on a single night’s observation, traders are weighing these micro-scale variables against historical mid-September baselines for the Shandong coast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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