Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 16 points to a low near 79–80°F amid scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 6–11 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels above 80 percent. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 76.9°F and recent early-September observations in the mid-70s to upper 70s, offering little support for readings at or below 71°F. Market-implied odds favoring the coolest bin likely reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread, possible model divergence in steering patterns, and historical precedent for occasional dips, even as official outlooks show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 settembre?
71°F o inferiore 50%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
50%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
1%
71°F o inferiore 50%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
50%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
37%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
37%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
37%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
1%
90°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 16 points to a low near 79–80°F amid scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 6–11 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels above 80 percent. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 76.9°F and recent early-September observations in the mid-70s to upper 70s, offering little support for readings at or below 71°F. Market-implied odds favoring the coolest bin likely reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread, possible model divergence in steering patterns, and historical precedent for occasional dips, even as official outlooks show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 16 points to a low near 79–80°F amid scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 6–11 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels above 80 percent. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 76.9°F and recent early-September observations in the mid-70s to upper 70s, offering little support for readings at or below 71°F. Market-implied odds favoring the coolest bin likely reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread, possible model divergence in steering patterns, and historical precedent for occasional dips, even as official outlooks show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 16 points to a low near 79–80°F amid scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 6–11 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels above 80 percent. These conditions align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 76.9°F and recent early-September observations in the mid-70s to upper 70s, offering little support for readings at or below 71°F. Market-implied odds favoring the coolest bin likely reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread, possible model divergence in steering patterns, and historical precedent for occasional dips, even as official outlooks show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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