Persistent rainfall driven by a shear line and low-level jet is suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing, with official forecasts from local meteorological services projecting a September 17 high near 25°C amid widespread moderate-to-heavy rain. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit surface warming, consistent with model consensus showing highs clustered between 24–28°C rather than the seasonal average near 29°C. Traders appear divided on whether rain intensity will hold temperatures below 22°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 30°C or above, producing near-even implied odds on the extremes despite the moderate central tendency in guidance. Updated model runs and rainfall verification over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 17 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 30%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
24°C 14%
21°C o inferiore
35%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
14%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
1%
21°C o inferiore 30%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
24°C 14%
21°C o inferiore
35%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
14%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall driven by a shear line and low-level jet is suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing, with official forecasts from local meteorological services projecting a September 17 high near 25°C amid widespread moderate-to-heavy rain. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit surface warming, consistent with model consensus showing highs clustered between 24–28°C rather than the seasonal average near 29°C. Traders appear divided on whether rain intensity will hold temperatures below 22°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 30°C or above, producing near-even implied odds on the extremes despite the moderate central tendency in guidance. Updated model runs and rainfall verification over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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