Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 17 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air, lingering cloud cover from a passing frontal system, and limited insolation under autumnal conditions. Recent days have featured cooling trends, with maxima near 22°C on the 16th amid showers, setting up modest recovery rather than strong warming. This aligns with climatological September averages around 23°C while accounting for current synoptic patterns that suppress peaks. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and station-specific resolution criteria, such as official Turkish Meteorological Service readings, favoring 22–23°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational trends through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 settembre?
22°C 52%
23°C 37%
24°C 7%
21°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
52%
23°C
37%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C o superiore
2%
22°C 52%
23°C 37%
24°C 7%
21°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$161 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$356 Vol.
3%
21°C
$149 Vol.
6%
22°C
$640 Vol.
52%
23°C
$264 Vol.
37%
24°C
$283 Vol.
7%
25°C
$27 Vol.
2%
26°C
$42 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 17 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air, lingering cloud cover from a passing frontal system, and limited insolation under autumnal conditions. Recent days have featured cooling trends, with maxima near 22°C on the 16th amid showers, setting up modest recovery rather than strong warming. This aligns with climatological September averages around 23°C while accounting for current synoptic patterns that suppress peaks. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and station-specific resolution criteria, such as official Turkish Meteorological Service readings, favoring 22–23°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational trends through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,106Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 17 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air, lingering cloud cover from a passing frontal system, and limited insolation under autumnal conditions. Recent days have featured cooling trends, with maxima near 22°C on the 16th amid showers, setting up modest recovery rather than strong warming. This aligns with climatological September averages around 23°C while accounting for current synoptic patterns that suppress peaks. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and station-specific resolution criteria, such as official Turkish Meteorological Service readings, favoring 22–23°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational trends through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,106Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 17 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air, lingering cloud cover from a passing frontal system, and limited insolation under autumnal conditions. Recent days have featured cooling trends, with maxima near 22°C on the 16th amid showers, setting up modest recovery rather than strong warming. This aligns with climatological September averages around 23°C while accounting for current synoptic patterns that suppress peaks. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and station-specific resolution criteria, such as official Turkish Meteorological Service readings, favoring 22–23°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational trends through the morning will refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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