Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 18 between 16°C and 19°C, sustaining tight market odds across those thresholds. Northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with variable overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, create the narrow spread in model outputs. Clearer skies would favor lower readings near 15–16°C through enhanced surface heat loss, while increased humidity or lingering cloud would limit cooling and support 18–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, providing context for the current consensus, though short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact wind speeds and dew point trajectories ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 18 settembre?
15°C 100%
13°C o inferiore 92%
16°C 51%
19°C 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
92%
14°C
5%
15°C
100%
16°C
51%
17°C
47%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
48%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 100%
13°C o inferiore 92%
16°C 51%
19°C 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
92%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$1 Vol.
51%
17°C
$0 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 18 between 16°C and 19°C, sustaining tight market odds across those thresholds. Northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with variable overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, create the narrow spread in model outputs. Clearer skies would favor lower readings near 15–16°C through enhanced surface heat loss, while increased humidity or lingering cloud would limit cooling and support 18–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, providing context for the current consensus, though short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact wind speeds and dew point trajectories ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$551Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 18 between 16°C and 19°C, sustaining tight market odds across those thresholds. Northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with variable overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, create the narrow spread in model outputs. Clearer skies would favor lower readings near 15–16°C through enhanced surface heat loss, while increased humidity or lingering cloud would limit cooling and support 18–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, providing context for the current consensus, though short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact wind speeds and dew point trajectories ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$551Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 18 between 16°C and 19°C, sustaining tight market odds across those thresholds. Northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air, combined with variable overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, create the narrow spread in model outputs. Clearer skies would favor lower readings near 15–16°C through enhanced surface heat loss, while increased humidity or lingering cloud would limit cooling and support 18–19°C. Historical September minima average near 16°C, providing context for the current consensus, though short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact wind speeds and dew point trajectories ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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