Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 17–20°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. High pressure maintains stable conditions with limited moisture, while dew points around 15–16°C and light winds support gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because ensemble runs show small spreads in minimum temperature tied to variations in cloud timing and urban heat island effects. Historical September minima average near 16°C, providing context that current readings align with seasonal norms yet leave room for a dip below 17°C if skies clear earlier than modeled. Updated observational data tonight will refine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 20 settembre?
14°C o inferiore 100%
17°C 100%
21°C 100%
20°C 51%
14°C o inferiore
100%
15°C
13%
16°C
18%
17°C
100%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
51%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
14°C o inferiore 100%
17°C 100%
21°C 100%
20°C 51%
14°C o inferiore
100%
15°C
13%
16°C
18%
17°C
100%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
51%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 17–20°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. High pressure maintains stable conditions with limited moisture, while dew points around 15–16°C and light winds support gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because ensemble runs show small spreads in minimum temperature tied to variations in cloud timing and urban heat island effects. Historical September minima average near 16°C, providing context that current readings align with seasonal norms yet leave room for a dip below 17°C if skies clear earlier than modeled. Updated observational data tonight will refine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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