**Trader sentiment for Helsinki's September 20 minimum temperature centers on 10–12°C outcomes (combined ~63% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models like ECMWF/GFS showing an overnight low near 11–13°C under persistent southwesterly flow.** Mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate winds (10–20 km/h) further suppress temperature drops. Historical September averages (around 8–10°C lows) provide context, but current conditions favor milder readings. Model spreads remain narrow, with minor divergences on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated official guidance and real-time observations ahead of market resolution will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 20 settembre?
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
11°C 29%
10°C 22%
6°C o inferiore
3%
7°C
8%
8°C
20%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
29%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C o superiore
2%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
11°C 29%
10°C 22%
6°C o inferiore
3%
7°C
8%
8°C
20%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
29%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Helsinki's September 20 minimum temperature centers on 10–12°C outcomes (combined ~63% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models like ECMWF/GFS showing an overnight low near 11–13°C under persistent southwesterly flow.** Mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate winds (10–20 km/h) further suppress temperature drops. Historical September averages (around 8–10°C lows) provide context, but current conditions favor milder readings. Model spreads remain narrow, with minor divergences on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated official guidance and real-time observations ahead of market resolution will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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