Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 20 settembre?
21°C o superiore 95%
11°C o inferiore 92%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
92%
12°C
21%
13°C
24%
14°C
23%
15°C
18%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C o superiore
95%
21°C o superiore 95%
11°C o inferiore 92%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
92%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$24 Vol.
23%
15°C
$15 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$39Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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