Recent cooling from a weak cold front and upper-level trough has driven trader focus on Wuhan's September 18 low, with official Chinese forecasts indicating a 20–25°C daily range amid lingering light rain and northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional guidance centers points to a minimum near 19–20°C, reflecting post-frontal stabilization, yet slight variations in rain timing or clearing could allow readings near or below 19°C or push toward the mid-20s if skies clear faster. This uncertainty, combined with historical September variability in the Jianghan Plain, keeps the market closely balanced across the 14°C-or-below, 19°C, and 24°C-or-higher bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and forecast revisions ahead of overnight resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 18 settembre?
14°C o inferiore 54%
19°C 54%
24°C o superiore 52%
20°C 45%
14°C o inferiore
54%
15°C
14%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
54%
20°C
26%
21°C
8%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C o superiore
52%
14°C o inferiore 54%
19°C 54%
24°C o superiore 52%
20°C 45%
14°C o inferiore
54%
15°C
14%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
54%
20°C
26%
21°C
8%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C o superiore
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a weak cold front and upper-level trough has driven trader focus on Wuhan's September 18 low, with official Chinese forecasts indicating a 20–25°C daily range amid lingering light rain and northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and regional guidance centers points to a minimum near 19–20°C, reflecting post-frontal stabilization, yet slight variations in rain timing or clearing could allow readings near or below 19°C or push toward the mid-20s if skies clear faster. This uncertainty, combined with historical September variability in the Jianghan Plain, keeps the market closely balanced across the 14°C-or-below, 19°C, and 24°C-or-higher bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and forecast revisions ahead of overnight resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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