Traders show balanced sentiment between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes for Guangzhou's lowest temperature on September 19 due to divergent forecast models on overnight cooling. Subtropical high pressure could maintain clear skies and limited mixing, supporting warmer minima near 25-28°C, while a potential weak cold front or increased cloud cover from monsoon remnants might enhance radiative cooling and drop readings lower. Historical September baselines in the region average 24-27°C, with model spread reflecting uncertainty in boundary layer moisture and wind patterns. China Meteorological Administration updates and new ensemble runs in the next 24 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 19 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 90%
30°C o superiore 90%
23°C 37%
24°C 37%
20°C o inferiore
90%
21°C
17%
22°C
13%
23°C
37%
24°C
37%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
15%
30°C o superiore
90%
20°C o inferiore 90%
30°C o superiore 90%
23°C 37%
24°C 37%
20°C o inferiore
90%
21°C
17%
22°C
13%
23°C
37%
24°C
37%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
15%
30°C o superiore
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders show balanced sentiment between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes for Guangzhou's lowest temperature on September 19 due to divergent forecast models on overnight cooling. Subtropical high pressure could maintain clear skies and limited mixing, supporting warmer minima near 25-28°C, while a potential weak cold front or increased cloud cover from monsoon remnants might enhance radiative cooling and drop readings lower. Historical September baselines in the region average 24-27°C, with model spread reflecting uncertainty in boundary layer moisture and wind patterns. China Meteorological Administration updates and new ensemble runs in the next 24 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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