Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 13 settembre?
22°C 55%
23°C 31%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
55%
23°C
31%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 31%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$135 Vol.
2%
21°C
$398 Vol.
12%
22°C
$551 Vol.
55%
23°C
$330 Vol.
31%
24°C
$135 Vol.
5%
25°C
$103 Vol.
2%
26°C
$236 Vol.
1%
27°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,640Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,640Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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