Current forecast models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high near 21–22°C in Paris on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa, positioning 22°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and reflects minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with limited afternoon heating expected due to increasing cloud cover and dew points in the 8–11°C range. Recent model consensus shows little shift over the past 24–48 hours, keeping 21°C and 23°C as secondary options while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given stable steering patterns and no significant warm or cool advection. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the precise maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 10 settembre?
22°C 59%
23°C 19%
21°C 15%
24°C 5%
$12,281 Vol.
$12,281 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
15%
22°C
59%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o più alta
<1%
22°C 59%
23°C 19%
21°C 15%
24°C 5%
$12,281 Vol.
$12,281 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
15%
22°C
59%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o più alta
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high near 21–22°C in Paris on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa, positioning 22°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and reflects minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with limited afternoon heating expected due to increasing cloud cover and dew points in the 8–11°C range. Recent model consensus shows little shift over the past 24–48 hours, keeping 21°C and 23°C as secondary options while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given stable steering patterns and no significant warm or cool advection. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the precise maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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