**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the official daily maximum temperature for Hong Kong on September 9, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a high near 31°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and moderate easterly flow.** Recent observations across stations show afternoon peaks of 32–34.6°C (e.g., 32.2°C at the Observatory headquarters and higher inland readings), consistent with late-summer patterns before northeast monsoon influence begins to moderate temperatures. The strong market-implied probability accounts for typical model consensus and historical September maxima around 30–32°C, while realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected monsoon surge lowering the peak or localized heating pushing select readings above 33°C before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 9 settembre?
32°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$164,695 Vol.
$164,695 Vol.
9 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$164,695 Vol.
$164,695 Vol.
9 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$21,405 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,965 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$29,744 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$20,683 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20,579 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$41,165 Vol.
100%
33°C
$22,013 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,185 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$223 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the official daily maximum temperature for Hong Kong on September 9, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a high near 31°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and moderate easterly flow.** Recent observations across stations show afternoon peaks of 32–34.6°C (e.g., 32.2°C at the Observatory headquarters and higher inland readings), consistent with late-summer patterns before northeast monsoon influence begins to moderate temperatures. The strong market-implied probability accounts for typical model consensus and historical September maxima around 30–32°C, while realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected monsoon surge lowering the peak or localized heating pushing select readings above 33°C before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$164,695Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the official daily maximum temperature for Hong Kong on September 9, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a high near 31°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and moderate easterly flow.** Recent observations across stations show afternoon peaks of 32–34.6°C (e.g., 32.2°C at the Observatory headquarters and higher inland readings), consistent with late-summer patterns before northeast monsoon influence begins to moderate temperatures. The strong market-implied probability accounts for typical model consensus and historical September maxima around 30–32°C, while realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected monsoon surge lowering the peak or localized heating pushing select readings above 33°C before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$164,695Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the official daily maximum temperature for Hong Kong on September 9, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a high near 31°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and moderate easterly flow.** Recent observations across stations show afternoon peaks of 32–34.6°C (e.g., 32.2°C at the Observatory headquarters and higher inland readings), consistent with late-summer patterns before northeast monsoon influence begins to moderate temperatures. The strong market-implied probability accounts for typical model consensus and historical September maxima around 30–32°C, while realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected monsoon surge lowering the peak or localized heating pushing select readings above 33°C before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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