Recent observational data from San Francisco stations indicate a minimum temperature of 60–61°F on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 90% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects a continuation of above-average overnight warmth driven by persistent high pressure, light west-southwest winds, and marine layer suppression that limited radiational cooling. Earlier September heat, including a 94°F peak on the 9th, elevated baseline temperatures, pushing the daily low well above the 56°F climatological norm. With official National Weather Service and NOAA-verified readings now available, trader consensus has consolidated around the measured value, leaving minimal probability mass on cooler or warmer alternatives absent any post-processing revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Francisco l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di San Francisco l'11 settembre?
60-61°F 99.5%
56-57°F 1.0%
58-59°F 1.0%
51°F o inferiore <1%
$947 Vol.
$947 Vol.
11 set 2026
51°F o inferiore
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Sì
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F o superiore
No
60-61°F 99.5%
56-57°F 1.0%
58-59°F 1.0%
51°F o inferiore <1%
$947 Vol.
$947 Vol.
11 set 2026
51°F o inferiore
$60 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$42 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$77 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$22 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$97 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$169 Vol.
Sì
62-63°F
$396 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$20 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$30 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
No
70°F o superiore
$30 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from San Francisco stations indicate a minimum temperature of 60–61°F on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 90% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects a continuation of above-average overnight warmth driven by persistent high pressure, light west-southwest winds, and marine layer suppression that limited radiational cooling. Earlier September heat, including a 94°F peak on the 9th, elevated baseline temperatures, pushing the daily low well above the 56°F climatological norm. With official National Weather Service and NOAA-verified readings now available, trader consensus has consolidated around the measured value, leaving minimal probability mass on cooler or warmer alternatives absent any post-processing revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$947Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from San Francisco stations indicate a minimum temperature of 60–61°F on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 90% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects a continuation of above-average overnight warmth driven by persistent high pressure, light west-southwest winds, and marine layer suppression that limited radiational cooling. Earlier September heat, including a 94°F peak on the 9th, elevated baseline temperatures, pushing the daily low well above the 56°F climatological norm. With official National Weather Service and NOAA-verified readings now available, trader consensus has consolidated around the measured value, leaving minimal probability mass on cooler or warmer alternatives absent any post-processing revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$947Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent observational data from San Francisco stations indicate a minimum temperature of 60–61°F on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 90% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects a continuation of above-average overnight warmth driven by persistent high pressure, light west-southwest winds, and marine layer suppression that limited radiational cooling. Earlier September heat, including a 94°F peak on the 9th, elevated baseline temperatures, pushing the daily low well above the 56°F climatological norm. With official National Weather Service and NOAA-verified readings now available, trader consensus has consolidated around the measured value, leaving minimal probability mass on cooler or warmer alternatives absent any post-processing revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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