**Trader consensus strongly favors a 60-61°F low for San Francisco on September 13, reflecting observed conditions at official stations amid typical late-summer marine influence.** National Weather Service data from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 59°F early on the 13th under clear to mostly clear skies, with light northwest winds and a shallow marine layer limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with the 56°F climatological normal for the date while falling short of deeper cooling that would require stronger onshore flow or denser fog. Model guidance and real-time observations showed minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with no significant synoptic shifts like offshore winds or heat advection to push temperatures lower. A realistic challenge would involve revised station data confirming a dip into the upper 50s or measurement discrepancies across downtown versus airport sites, though current verification supports the narrow 60-61°F band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Francisco il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a San Francisco il 13 settembre?
60-61°F 95%
49°F o inferiore 93%
56-57°F 48%
54-55°F 47%
$359 Vol.
$359 Vol.
13 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
93%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
47%
56-57°F
48%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
95%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F o superiore
<1%
60-61°F 95%
49°F o inferiore 93%
56-57°F 48%
54-55°F 47%
$359 Vol.
$359 Vol.
13 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
93%
50-51°F
$30 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$15 Vol.
47%
56-57°F
$19 Vol.
48%
58-59°F
$201 Vol.
25%
60-61°F
$19 Vol.
95%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$75 Vol.
<1%
68°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 60-61°F low for San Francisco on September 13, reflecting observed conditions at official stations amid typical late-summer marine influence.** National Weather Service data from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 59°F early on the 13th under clear to mostly clear skies, with light northwest winds and a shallow marine layer limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with the 56°F climatological normal for the date while falling short of deeper cooling that would require stronger onshore flow or denser fog. Model guidance and real-time observations showed minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with no significant synoptic shifts like offshore winds or heat advection to push temperatures lower. A realistic challenge would involve revised station data confirming a dip into the upper 50s or measurement discrepancies across downtown versus airport sites, though current verification supports the narrow 60-61°F band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$359Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 60-61°F low for San Francisco on September 13, reflecting observed conditions at official stations amid typical late-summer marine influence.** National Weather Service data from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 59°F early on the 13th under clear to mostly clear skies, with light northwest winds and a shallow marine layer limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with the 56°F climatological normal for the date while falling short of deeper cooling that would require stronger onshore flow or denser fog. Model guidance and real-time observations showed minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with no significant synoptic shifts like offshore winds or heat advection to push temperatures lower. A realistic challenge would involve revised station data confirming a dip into the upper 50s or measurement discrepancies across downtown versus airport sites, though current verification supports the narrow 60-61°F band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$359Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 60-61°F low for San Francisco on September 13, reflecting observed conditions at official stations amid typical late-summer marine influence.** National Weather Service data from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 59°F early on the 13th under clear to mostly clear skies, with light northwest winds and a shallow marine layer limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with the 56°F climatological normal for the date while falling short of deeper cooling that would require stronger onshore flow or denser fog. Model guidance and real-time observations showed minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with no significant synoptic shifts like offshore winds or heat advection to push temperatures lower. A realistic challenge would involve revised station data confirming a dip into the upper 50s or measurement discrepancies across downtown versus airport sites, though current verification supports the narrow 60-61°F band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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