The market's heavy weighting toward a 27°C minimum reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 27–31°C for September 9, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon that is gradually cooling southern China after recent hot, humid conditions. Easterly winds of force 3–4, occasional showers, and partly sunny skies are expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low near the upper end of typical early-September values. Model consensus and current observations support this range, though variable cloud cover or shower timing introduces modest uncertainty that could allow a 26°C or 28°C outcome. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station readings will shape final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 9 settembre?
27°C 57%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
57%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
27°C 57%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
57%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The market's heavy weighting toward a 27°C minimum reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 27–31°C for September 9, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon that is gradually cooling southern China after recent hot, humid conditions. Easterly winds of force 3–4, occasional showers, and partly sunny skies are expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low near the upper end of typical early-September values. Model consensus and current observations support this range, though variable cloud cover or shower timing introduces modest uncertainty that could allow a 26°C or 28°C outcome. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station readings will shape final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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