**Approaching Hurricane Lana, now a Category 1 system east of the Bahamas with an eye projected near South Florida by Friday, is the main driver of trader sentiment for Miami’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Persistent easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 78–80 °F. Official NWS guidance currently points to lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around 78–81 °F. Historical September 10 averages near 77 °F provide context, but the tropical moisture plume and potential rain-cooled air introduce uncertainty that supports the notable 24 % implied odds for 73 °F or below. Updated National Hurricane Center track and intensity forecasts, plus revised local model runs over the next 48 hours, will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Miami il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Miami il 10 settembre?
73°F o inferiore 47%
92°F o superiore 46%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
73°F o inferiore
47%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
21%
92°F o superiore
46%
73°F o inferiore 47%
92°F o superiore 46%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
73°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
47%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
21%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
21%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
21%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
21%
92°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Approaching Hurricane Lana, now a Category 1 system east of the Bahamas with an eye projected near South Florida by Friday, is the main driver of trader sentiment for Miami’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Persistent easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 78–80 °F. Official NWS guidance currently points to lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around 78–81 °F. Historical September 10 averages near 77 °F provide context, but the tropical moisture plume and potential rain-cooled air introduce uncertainty that supports the notable 24 % implied odds for 73 °F or below. Updated National Hurricane Center track and intensity forecasts, plus revised local model runs over the next 48 hours, will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Approaching Hurricane Lana, now a Category 1 system east of the Bahamas with an eye projected near South Florida by Friday, is the main driver of trader sentiment for Miami’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Persistent easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 78–80 °F. Official NWS guidance currently points to lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around 78–81 °F. Historical September 10 averages near 77 °F provide context, but the tropical moisture plume and potential rain-cooled air introduce uncertainty that supports the notable 24 % implied odds for 73 °F or below. Updated National Hurricane Center track and intensity forecasts, plus revised local model runs over the next 48 hours, will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Approaching Hurricane Lana, now a Category 1 system east of the Bahamas with an eye projected near South Florida by Friday, is the main driver of trader sentiment for Miami’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Persistent easterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 78–80 °F. Official NWS guidance currently points to lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around 78–81 °F. Historical September 10 averages near 77 °F provide context, but the tropical moisture plume and potential rain-cooled air introduce uncertainty that supports the notable 24 % implied odds for 73 °F or below. Updated National Hurricane Center track and intensity forecasts, plus revised local model runs over the next 48 hours, will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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