**Forecast consensus from official models positions 26°C as the most probable high for Incheon/Seoul on September 9, with 27°C a close secondary outcome.** A strengthening high-pressure system centered over northern China has advected cooler, drier air across the Korean Peninsula, suppressing the late-summer warmth that produced 30–31°C readings the prior day and steering the region toward early-autumn norms. Current observations and short-range guidance show mostly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of roughly 25–27°C. Model agreement on these conditions, absent significant moisture or southerly advection, underpins the market-implied odds favoring 26–27°C while assigning minimal probability to outliers above 28°C or below 25°C. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 9 settembre?
26°C 67%
27°C 30%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,946 Vol.
$42,946 Vol.
20°C o meno
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
67%
27°C
30%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 67%
27°C 30%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$42,946 Vol.
$42,946 Vol.
20°C o meno
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
67%
27°C
30%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official models positions 26°C as the most probable high for Incheon/Seoul on September 9, with 27°C a close secondary outcome.** A strengthening high-pressure system centered over northern China has advected cooler, drier air across the Korean Peninsula, suppressing the late-summer warmth that produced 30–31°C readings the prior day and steering the region toward early-autumn norms. Current observations and short-range guidance show mostly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of roughly 25–27°C. Model agreement on these conditions, absent significant moisture or southerly advection, underpins the market-implied odds favoring 26–27°C while assigning minimal probability to outliers above 28°C or below 25°C. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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