Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center forecast a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driven by northerly winds advecting drier, cooler air behind recent frontal activity and reduced cloud cover overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing skies, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Market-implied odds near 48% for 19°C or below versus 47.5% for 29°C or higher reflect trader assessment of forecast spread across ensemble runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize resolution. Updated model guidance is expected within the next 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou l'11 settembre?
29°C o superiore 95%
19°C o inferiore 91%
20°C 39%
26°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
91%
20°C
39%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C o superiore
95%
29°C o superiore 95%
19°C o inferiore 91%
20°C 39%
26°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
91%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center forecast a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driven by northerly winds advecting drier, cooler air behind recent frontal activity and reduced cloud cover overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing skies, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Market-implied odds near 48% for 19°C or below versus 47.5% for 29°C or higher reflect trader assessment of forecast spread across ensemble runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize resolution. Updated model guidance is expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center forecast a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driven by northerly winds advecting drier, cooler air behind recent frontal activity and reduced cloud cover overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing skies, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Market-implied odds near 48% for 19°C or below versus 47.5% for 29°C or higher reflect trader assessment of forecast spread across ensemble runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize resolution. Updated model guidance is expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center forecast a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driven by northerly winds advecting drier, cooler air behind recent frontal activity and reduced cloud cover overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing skies, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Market-implied odds near 48% for 19°C or below versus 47.5% for 29°C or higher reflect trader assessment of forecast spread across ensemble runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize resolution. Updated model guidance is expected within the next 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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