**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 19°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 19–20°C.** A strengthening high-pressure system over northern China is advecting cooler, drier air southward under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, promoting overnight radiative cooling while easterly winds limit extreme drops. This marks a transition from recent late-summer warmth, with daytime highs falling toward seasonal averages near 24–27°C and overnight lows settling in the upper teens Celsius. Historical September minima for the region typically range 16–21°C, and current model runs show limited spread, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities. Updated forecasts and any late-day observations will be the next key inputs for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 9 settembre?
20°C 50%
19°C 42%
18°C 8%
16°C <1%
$17,186 Vol.
$17,186 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
8%
19°C
42%
20°C
47%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 50%
19°C 42%
18°C 8%
16°C <1%
$17,186 Vol.
$17,186 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
8%
19°C
42%
20°C
47%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 19°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 19–20°C.** A strengthening high-pressure system over northern China is advecting cooler, drier air southward under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, promoting overnight radiative cooling while easterly winds limit extreme drops. This marks a transition from recent late-summer warmth, with daytime highs falling toward seasonal averages near 24–27°C and overnight lows settling in the upper teens Celsius. Historical September minima for the region typically range 16–21°C, and current model runs show limited spread, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities. Updated forecasts and any late-day observations will be the next key inputs for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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