Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Istanbul under persistent northeasterly flow on September 11, 2026, with clear skies and moderate onshore winds from the Black Sea moderating peak heating. These conditions typically cap daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger late-summer warmth. Official station data and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of significant deviation, supporting trader focus on 25°C and 26°C as the most likely outcomes. No major synoptic changes are expected before the daily maximum is recorded, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul l'11 settembre?
25°C 58%
26°C 40%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
21°C o meno
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
58%
26°C
40%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 58%
26°C 40%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
21°C o meno
$416 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$143 Vol.
1%
24°C
$430 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,781 Vol.
58%
26°C
$629 Vol.
40%
27°C
$285 Vol.
1%
28°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Istanbul under persistent northeasterly flow on September 11, 2026, with clear skies and moderate onshore winds from the Black Sea moderating peak heating. These conditions typically cap daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger late-summer warmth. Official station data and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of significant deviation, supporting trader focus on 25°C and 26°C as the most likely outcomes. No major synoptic changes are expected before the daily maximum is recorded, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,865Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Istanbul under persistent northeasterly flow on September 11, 2026, with clear skies and moderate onshore winds from the Black Sea moderating peak heating. These conditions typically cap daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger late-summer warmth. Official station data and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of significant deviation, supporting trader focus on 25°C and 26°C as the most likely outcomes. No major synoptic changes are expected before the daily maximum is recorded, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,865Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Istanbul under persistent northeasterly flow on September 11, 2026, with clear skies and moderate onshore winds from the Black Sea moderating peak heating. These conditions typically cap daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger late-summer warmth. Official station data and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of significant deviation, supporting trader focus on 25°C and 26°C as the most likely outcomes. No major synoptic changes are expected before the daily maximum is recorded, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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