Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Munich on September 10, 2026, following a sharp cool-down from 30–33°C on September 8. A passing frontal system on September 9 introduced northeasterly flow, increased cloud cover, and drier air masses that limit daytime heating, positioning 19°C as the leading market outcome at 41% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.5°C while reflecting typical post-summer transition patterns. Traders appear to weigh stable high-pressure rebuilding and minimal precipitation risk, which support the current consensus around 19–20°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 10 settembre?
19°C 41%
20°C 26%
18°C 13%
21°C 10%
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19°C
41%
20°C
26%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
2%
19°C 41%
20°C 26%
18°C 13%
21°C 10%
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19°C
41%
20°C
26%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Munich on September 10, 2026, following a sharp cool-down from 30–33°C on September 8. A passing frontal system on September 9 introduced northeasterly flow, increased cloud cover, and drier air masses that limit daytime heating, positioning 19°C as the leading market outcome at 41% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.5°C while reflecting typical post-summer transition patterns. Traders appear to weigh stable high-pressure rebuilding and minimal precipitation risk, which support the current consensus around 19–20°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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