**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a Thursday night low near 10°C for Toronto following Wednesday's showers and clearing skies, favoring radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions.** Numerical models show spread in cloud timing and wind patterns, with some runs sustaining higher minima around 15–17°C. This uncertainty, combined with a historical September 10 average low of 14.8°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for both 19°C or higher and 9°C or below. Traders are weighting the latest GFS ensemble guidance and upcoming model updates ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 10 settembre?
9°C o meno 95%
19°C o superiore 49%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
9°C o meno
95%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C o superiore
49%
9°C o meno 95%
19°C o superiore 49%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
9°C o meno
95%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C o superiore
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a Thursday night low near 10°C for Toronto following Wednesday's showers and clearing skies, favoring radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions.** Numerical models show spread in cloud timing and wind patterns, with some runs sustaining higher minima around 15–17°C. This uncertainty, combined with a historical September 10 average low of 14.8°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for both 19°C or higher and 9°C or below. Traders are weighting the latest GFS ensemble guidance and upcoming model updates ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti