Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid l'8 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid l'8 settembre?
35°C 54%
36°C 41%
37°C 4%
34°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 set 2026
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
54%
36°C
41%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C o superiore
<1%
35°C 54%
36°C 41%
37°C 4%
34°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 set 2026
31°C o inferiore
$121 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$251 Vol.
4%
35°C
$407 Vol.
54%
36°C
$332 Vol.
41%
37°C
$227 Vol.
4%
38°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
41°C o superiore
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,206Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,206Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to a peak high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and a building ridge of high pressure, following hotter conditions near 36–37°C on September 7. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 35°C (53%) and 36°C (40.5%), reflecting trader assessment of limited further warming before a cooler air mass arrives. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, while the current late-summer warmth stems from persistent anticyclonic conditions across Iberia. Official AEMET updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range around these outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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